Toresana vs Fresno de La Ribera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
48.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toresana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BOV
3 - 1
TOR
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 5
SAN
45%
20%
34%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAC
2 - 0
TOR
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 6
MOR
14%
16%
70%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
6 - 2
TOR
86%
9%
5%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FRE
4 - 2
RCB
40%
22%
39%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 5
FRE
45%
21%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 3
SAN
31%
21%
48%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 2
CAM
24%
22%
54%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 0
GCE
14%
18%
69%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +3 |