Telde vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
39.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Telde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LAG
1 - 0
TEL
34%
26%
41%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
TEL
1 - 2
CDT
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SDT
3 - 1
TEL
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 0
TEL
42%
25%
34%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
TEL
2 - 3
UDL
61%
21%
19%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
SPM
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
EST
52%
23%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
EST
2 - 0
SYS
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
EST
1 - 1
LAN
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CDM
0 - 2
EST
33%
25%
43%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |