Tarajalejo vs Costa Ayala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10%
18%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
66.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+767%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarajalejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
DOR
0 - 0
TAR
85%
11%
4%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
TAR
2 - 2
UDG
6%
14%
80%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
LON
1 - 1
TAR
74%
15%
11%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
TAR
0 - 4
BAR
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
UCA
1 - 1
TAR
65%
18%
17%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
COS
4 - 1
LON
62%
19%
20%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
COS
2 - 2
UCA
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
COS
1 - 1
DPV
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
COS
1 - 1
BLP
24%
21%
56%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
COS
1 - 3
UDG
23%
23%
55%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |