Tamaraceite vs UD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
45.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
12º
9º
51
1º
15º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamaraceite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
YAI
0 - 1
TAM
20%
21%
59%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
TAM
1 - 0
EST
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
UPR
1 - 1
TAM
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PAN
5 - 0
TAM
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
TAM
2 - 0
UDG
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UDS
2 - 1
VSB
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
UDS
0 - 1
PAN
44%
23%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
UDI
0 - 3
UDS
12%
18%
69%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UDS
3 - 0
CSU
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UDG
2 - 3
UDS
23%
23%
55%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |