UD Sur vs Unión Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
13%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
BOE
3 - 2
UDS
29%
21%
50%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
PED
2 - 3
UDS
39%
22%
39%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
UDS
4 - 0
PAR
63%
18%
19%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
ARC
3 - 2
UDS
27%
22%
52%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
UDS
0 - 1
BET
71%
16%
14%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
UNI
5 - 1
RAC
29%
24%
47%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
AGU
1 - 2
UNI
49%
21%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 3
ATL
32%
22%
46%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
VIC
2 - 1
UNI
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 1
ATO
47%
22%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |