UD Sur vs Unión Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDV
2 - 1
UDS
33%
23%
44%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 1
VIC
52%
20%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
RAY
1 - 5
UDS
7%
14%
79%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
UDS
5 - 2
RIO
69%
16%
15%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 0
UDS
24%
22%
55%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
RAY
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
RIO
31%
23%
47%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ATO
4 - 0
UNI
61%
20%
19%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
MED
38%
22%
40%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RAC
2 - 0
UNI
37%
24%
40%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |