UD Sur vs Unión Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
50.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BOE
4 - 2
UDS
58%
20%
22%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
UDS
3 - 3
RAY
28%
21%
51%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BET
4 - 1
UDS
73%
15%
12%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
UDS
2 - 3
PAR
73%
15%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ATO
3 - 1
UDS
51%
21%
28%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 3
BET
34%
22%
45%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 0
UNI
27%
22%
51%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 1
UNI
43%
23%
34%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 2
AGU
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RIO
3 - 0
UNI
40%
23%
38%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |