Sumacarcer A vs Carcer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
40.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumacarcer A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SUM
1 - 2
ANN
10%
15%
75%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SUM
3 - 2
FDF
53%
21%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 2
SUM
66%
17%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SUM
1 - 7
ALB
4%
10%
86%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CIU
8 - 0
SUM
86%
10%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Carcer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
UEM
3 - 3
CAR
71%
16%
14%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
VAL
5 - 2
CAR
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
5 - 3
EMF
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 6
ALG
19%
19%
63%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
RAF
1 - 2
CAR
54%
20%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |