Tercera - Postupové Play Off Final
Global 3-1
UD Sanse vs Tudelano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Sanse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
CER
1 - 0
SSR
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SSR
3 - 1
CER
53%
25%
22%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 2
SSR
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
SSR
4 - 1
VIL
39%
27%
34%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +3 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SSR
1 - 1
POZ
41%
26%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
TUD
2 - 0
POZ
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
POZ
0 - 0
TUD
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
BAL
4 - 0
TUD
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
TUD
1 - 0
BAL
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 2
TUD
12%
21%
67%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | +1 |