UD Sanse vs CD Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+91%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
8º
16º
8º
33
14º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 21 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Sanse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
GET
0 - 0
SSR
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ALC
2 - 3
SSR
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
NAV
2 - 0
SSR
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SSR
1 - 1
COR
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ILL
2 - 1
SSR
18%
26%
56%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CDM
1 - 2
CPC
15%
24%
61%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CDM
2 - 3
TAL
15%
23%
62%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 0
CDM
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 1
MEL
20%
26%
54%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 3
CDM
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |