UD Santa Marta vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
68.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BEC
1 - 0
STM
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
STM
1 - 1
LEO
31%
23%
46%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
RBU
3 - 1
STM
42%
24%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
STM
0 - 2
BUR
33%
26%
42%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SEG
2 - 0
STM
81%
13%
7%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
AST
2 - 0
CDB
89%
8%
3%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 3
AST
12%
19%
69%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
AST
2 - 3
LVC
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
MIR
1 - 3
AST
12%
19%
69%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
AST
0 - 1
ZAM
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |