San Nicolás vs Costa Ayala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
34.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Nicolás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
BAR
1 - 1
SNI
29%
22%
49%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
SNI
4 - 0
GAL
88%
9%
4%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
SPO
0 - 3
SNI
58%
19%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
SNI
3 - 1
CDG
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
AGA
2 - 2
SNI
29%
22%
49%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
COS
3 - 2
SIS
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
ATA
2 - 2
COS
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
COS
2 - 1
GUI
79%
13%
9%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
UDS
0 - 1
COS
29%
22%
48%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
COS
2 - 1
UVI
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |