San Mateo vs Orpesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
72.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Mateo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 3
PED
12%
18%
70%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
3 - 1
MAT
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 0
BEN
27%
23%
50%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
MAT
76%
15%
9%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 3
ALC
14%
19%
66%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Orpesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ORP
3 - 1
MOR
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 0
ORP
17%
20%
63%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ORP
1 - 1
CAL
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 1
ORP
41%
23%
36%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ORP
4 - 0
BEN
74%
15%
10%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |