San Mateo vs Calig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Mateo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ORP
1 - 2
MAT
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 0
VIN
30%
23%
48%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 0
MAT
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 0
TRA
22%
22%
56%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PED
1 - 2
MAT
53%
21%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 2
IBA
18%
20%
62%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 2
CAL
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ORP
3 - 0
CAL
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
VIN
20%
21%
59%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
3 - 1
CAL
70%
17%
13%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |