San Lorenzo A vs Unión Collado Villalba B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HMA
4 - 1
SLO
30%
22%
49%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
POZ
2 - 1
SLO
36%
22%
42%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SLO
3 - 2
PDM
33%
21%
46%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CRG
3 - 3
SLO
54%
21%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 2
GAL
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Collado Villalba B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
UCV
3 - 0
EFM
35%
22%
43%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
UCV
2 - 2
LRO
28%
21%
51%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
GDC
2 - 0
UCV
46%
21%
33%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
UCV
3 - 1
VIL
59%
20%
21%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ARB
5 - 2
UCV
35%
22%
44%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |