San Lorenzo A vs Alpedrete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
59.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+121%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
QUI
2 - 1
SLO
58%
19%
23%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SLO
5 - 1
CAS
80%
12%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
BOA
1 - 2
SLO
19%
19%
62%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SLO
4 - 4
UCV
60%
19%
22%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HMA
4 - 1
SLO
30%
22%
49%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Alpedrete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ALP
8 - 3
EFM
86%
10%
5%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LRO
1 - 1
ALP
27%
20%
53%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 1
GDC
75%
15%
11%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 3
ALP
7%
13%
80%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ALP
3 - 1
ARB
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |