UD San Gregorio vs Costa Ayala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD San Gregorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
SGR
4 - 0
MAR
45%
23%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
BEC
1 - 1
SGR
64%
18%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
SGR
4 - 1
VEC
27%
22%
50%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
SGR
1 - 0
ARU
17%
19%
64%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
TAH
2 - 5
SGR
27%
21%
52%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
COS
2 - 2
BEC
14%
18%
67%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
VEC
3 - 0
COS
80%
13%
8%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2017 |
ARU
3 - 0
COS
81%
13%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
UNV
6 - 0
COS
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
COS
1 - 0
UDS
31%
22%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |