UD San Fernando vs Tamaraceite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
TAM
1 - 1
UDS
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
UDS
2 - 0
CDM
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
CDM
1 - 1
UDS
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
UDS
1 - 0
CSU
74%
17%
8%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
CDB
0 - 3
UDS
15%
24%
61%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Tamaraceite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
TAM
1 - 1
UDS
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
TAM
3 - 0
UDI
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
UDI
1 - 0
TAM
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
UDI
3 - 1
TAM
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
TAM
2 - 1
LLA
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |