Tercera - Postupové Play Off Semi-finals
Global 1-0
UD San Fernando vs SD Borja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
UDS
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
UDS
3 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
UDS
4 - 1
LLA
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CDM
1 - 0
UDS
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
UDS
2 - 0
VER
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
SD Borja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
SDB
3 - 1
HAR
25%
25%
51%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
HAR
3 - 2
SDB
64%
21%
16%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
EJE
1 - 1
SDB
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SDB
2 - 0
UFC
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 4
SDB
13%
23%
65%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |