UD San Fernando vs Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 0
UDS
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
UDS
2 - 4
GUI
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
PAN
1 - 3
UDS
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
UDS
5 - 2
COT
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
UNV
1 - 0
UDS
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
YAI
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CDM
3 - 1
MAR
74%
17%
10%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 0
UDL
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
UDL
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |