UD San Fernando vs Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CDT
3 - 0
UDS
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
UDS
2 - 0
VER
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ARU
0 - 3
UDS
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +3 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAG
1 - 1
UDS
21%
22%
57%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
UDS
1 - 2
VSB
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 4
VSB
18%
22%
59%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
UPR
1 - 2
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
SPO
56%
24%
20%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LAN
3 - 1
MAR
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
UDI
35%
26%
39%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |