UD San Fernando vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
CSU
2 - 3
UDS
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
UDS
1 - 3
CDT
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
TAM
2 - 2
UDS
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
UDS
2 - 1
VSB
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
UPR
1 - 2
UDS
40%
26%
35%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
UDI
1 - 0
YAI
59%
21%
19%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CDM
4 - 0
UDI
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
UDI
2 - 0
UDL
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 2
UDI
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
UDI
2 - 1
ATL
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |