UD San Fernando vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
COT
0 - 2
UDS
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
UDS
3 - 0
HCF
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
PAN
2 - 1
UDS
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
LLA
3 - 2
UDS
20%
24%
56%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
UDS
2 - 2
CDM
22%
26%
53%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
EST
1 - 0
LLA
46%
26%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CDM
1 - 1
EST
84%
12%
5%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
EST
0 - 3
VER
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
CDB
2 - 1
EST
46%
26%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
UDI
5 - 2
EST
79%
14%
8%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |