Puzol vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puzol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
ONT
6 - 2
UDP
66%
22%
13%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
UDP
1 - 1
VIL
65%
20%
14%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
VAL
2 - 0
UDP
67%
22%
11%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
UDP
3 - 1
BEN
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
GAN
3 - 0
UDP
68%
20%
11%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
NOV
1 - 0
BUR
45%
27%
28%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
DEN
2 - 2
NOV
68%
19%
12%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
ONT
3 - 1
NOV
64%
22%
14%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
NOV
0 - 0
VIL
55%
25%
20%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
VAL
0 - 0
NOV
71%
19%
9%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |