Puzol vs Alcala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puzol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
NUL
0 - 8
UDP
22%
23%
55%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
UDP
1 - 0
OND
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
SON
5 - 5
UDP
70%
18%
13%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
UDP
2 - 0
UDV
37%
23%
40%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
UDP
3 - 0
CFS
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alcala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
ALC
1 - 1
CAS
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ALC
2 - 2
ALQ
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CAB
3 - 0
ALC
29%
23%
49%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
LAL
2 - 1
ALC
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
HMA
1 - 2
ALC
24%
21%
55%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |