UD Plus Ultra vs San Bartolome analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LOG
1 - 1
PUL
33%
23%
44%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PUL
2 - 1
SMA
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
PUL
38%
23%
38%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PUL
2 - 2
ZUR
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Bartolome
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SBA
4 - 0
FMO
32%
23%
45%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 0
SBA
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SBA
8 - 0
PGA
63%
19%
17%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |