UD Plus Ultra vs Navalmoral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 2
PUL
38%
22%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PUL
1 - 4
CDD
44%
22%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 2
PUL
42%
22%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PUL
0 - 1
MIA
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FMO
0 - 5
PUL
36%
22%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Navalmoral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 1
CIU
14%
19%
67%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SJO
4 - 1
NAV
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AMA
4 - 1
NAV
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 2
CDD
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
TAL
1 - 3
NAV
69%
18%
13%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |