UD Plus Ultra vs Moraleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
38.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+147%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MIA
3 - 1
PUL
82%
11%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
TAL
4 - 3
PUL
69%
17%
15%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PUL
0 - 1
OLY
35%
21%
44%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CFJ
2 - 0
PUL
38%
22%
40%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PUL
1 - 2
TRU
15%
18%
67%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
CIU
26%
22%
52%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MOR
4 - 3
NAV
56%
22%
22%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
AMA
3 - 2
MOR
44%
22%
34%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 4
CDD
16%
20%
64%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
SJO
35%
22%
44%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |