UD Plus Ultra vs Hernán Cortés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LAS
1 - 1
PUL
41%
22%
37%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
PUL
4 - 0
SJO
53%
21%
27%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PUL
0 - 1
CIU
30%
23%
48%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
NAV
0 - 2
PUL
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PUL
3 - 2
AMA
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
HER
0 - 3
CIU
27%
24%
49%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
NAV
0 - 1
HER
26%
26%
49%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
HER
1 - 0
AMA
60%
20%
20%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CDD
5 - 1
HER
76%
16%
8%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
HER
0 - 1
MOR
72%
18%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |