UD Plus Ultra vs Emérita Augusta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
35.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
3 - 0
PUL
78%
15%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PUL
0 - 1
CDD
33%
24%
43%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
TAL
3 - 3
PUL
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PUL
3 - 2
PIO
35%
22%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 0
PUL
76%
15%
9%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Emérita Augusta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
EME
1 - 2
CDD
37%
24%
39%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PIO
2 - 1
EME
37%
22%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
EME
3 - 1
MIA
12%
19%
69%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MAL
2 - 0
EME
62%
20%
19%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
EME
3 - 0
SJO
18%
21%
62%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +3 |