UD Plus Ultra vs Metelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+172%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
PUL
47%
21%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
PUL
1 - 0
ROC
54%
20%
26%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PVA
3 - 0
PUL
31%
23%
46%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PUL
3 - 0
SAN
75%
14%
11%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CDC
3 - 1
PUL
65%
18%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Metelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MET
1 - 1
CDN
24%
20%
57%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
MET
2 - 1
BAR
26%
21%
53%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ESC
4 - 1
MET
64%
19%
17%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MET
2 - 2
ROC
45%
22%
34%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TRU
2 - 1
MET
42%
22%
36%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |