UD Plus Ultra vs Castilblanco A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.3%
3.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
OCD
1 - 0
PUL
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PUL
1 - 0
ELA
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 4
PUL
15%
19%
67%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PUL
2 - 3
SIR
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
OCD
1 - 3
PUL
16%
19%
65%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Castilblanco A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 2
PUE
46%
22%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 2
VAL
32%
22%
47%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SIR
2 - 0
CAS
63%
18%
19%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 4
OCD
33%
23%
44%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
QUI
8 - 0
CAS
88%
8%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | -1 |