UD Plus Ultra vs Castilblanco A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ZOR
0 - 1
PUL
14%
19%
67%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FMO
1 - 1
PUL
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PUL
2 - 1
VAL
27%
23%
50%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PGA
1 - 3
PUL
17%
20%
63%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PUL
3 - 1
SBA
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Castilblanco A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 0
FMO
28%
23%
49%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
4 - 0
CAS
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 0
PGA
54%
21%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SBA
5 - 2
CAS
64%
19%
17%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 2
LOG
39%
23%
38%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |