UD Plus Ultra vs Amanecer B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
20.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CDD
3 - 0
PUL
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PUL
6 - 1
MOR
39%
22%
39%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MIA
3 - 1
PUL
82%
11%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
TAL
4 - 3
PUL
69%
17%
15%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PUL
0 - 1
OLY
35%
21%
44%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Amanecer B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
AMA
0 - 2
CIU
19%
21%
60%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
NAV
2 - 1
AMA
38%
22%
40%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 2
SJO
40%
22%
38%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CDD
3 - 0
AMA
81%
13%
7%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
AMA
3 - 2
MOR
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |