UD Plus Ultra vs Santa Quiteria A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CDC
3 - 1
PUL
65%
18%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
PUL
6 - 0
GAR
78%
13%
9%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LOG
0 - 6
PUL
21%
19%
60%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
PUL
5 - 3
CDN
16%
17%
67%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ESC
4 - 1
PUL
24%
20%
56%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Santa Quiteria A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ROC
2 - 1
SAN
62%
19%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
PVA
51%
21%
28%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MET
3 - 0
SAN
48%
22%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CDC
2 - 0
SAN
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
GAR
60%
19%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |