UD Playa vs Lorenzo Negrín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
13.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Playa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 1
ARM
30%
21%
50%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PLA
4 - 3
ALA
70%
16%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
CHI
4 - 1
PLA
57%
19%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
PLA
4 - 1
TRA
52%
20%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
COR
2 - 4
PLA
25%
21%
55%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lorenzo Negrín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
LNE
0 - 3
HER
19%
19%
62%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LNE
1 - 3
SAL
71%
16%
14%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
IGU
1 - 1
LNE
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
LNE
0 - 3
STC
48%
21%
32%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
LNE
68%
17%
15%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |