UD Petrelense vs Hércules B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CAL
4 - 0
UDP
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
UDP
0 - 1
VIJ
15%
21%
64%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SFF
1 - 0
UDP
83%
12%
5%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HER
0 - 1
CDC
32%
24%
44%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
THA
3 - 1
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
ALB
53%
23%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 0
HER
37%
24%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
HER
1 - 2
VIL
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |