Petrelense vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
ALG
3 - 2
PET
29%
22%
49%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
PET
3 - 0
PIN
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
MON
0 - 0
PET
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
PET
3 - 0
ALB
68%
18%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ALG
1 - 0
PET
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
UDF
4 - 0
MON
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
GUS
2 - 0
UDF
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
UDF
1 - 3
UNI
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
RAF
0 - 7
UDF
45%
22%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
UDF
1 - 1
ELD
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |