Petrelense vs Novelda UCF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
73.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
PET
0 - 2
BEN
11%
22%
68%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
RAV
3 - 1
PET
82%
12%
6%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
PET
1 - 1
ORI
32%
25%
43%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ELU
3 - 1
PET
74%
15%
11%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
PET
0 - 1
THD
15%
19%
66%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
NUD
4 - 2
RED
24%
22%
54%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
BEN
3 - 1
NUD
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
NUD
0 - 0
MUR
36%
22%
42%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
RAV
0 - 1
NUD
62%
19%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
NUD
0 - 2
ATH
29%
22%
49%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |