Petrelense vs Novelda UCF B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
5.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
XIX
0 - 5
PET
12%
16%
73%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PET
2 - 1
CAS
59%
19%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
ATL
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 1
PET
27%
21%
51%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ONI
1 - 2
PET
28%
21%
51%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda UCF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
NUC
0 - 5
ONI
12%
13%
75%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
NUC
64%
18%
18%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ESI
5 - 1
NUC
72%
15%
13%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
NUC
0 - 7
NOV
25%
19%
56%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PEA
5 - 0
NUC
57%
20%
23%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |