Petrelense vs Novelda UCF B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
72.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CUI
4 - 2
PET
88%
8%
3%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PET
1 - 2
BIA
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PEA
3 - 4
PET
45%
21%
34%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PET
5 - 3
COC
41%
21%
38%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ASP
3 - 1
PET
80%
12%
8%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda UCF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NUC
4 - 1
RAY
45%
21%
34%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BNY
2 - 4
NUC
17%
18%
65%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NUC
4 - 1
CAS
51%
20%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 0
NUC
22%
20%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
NUC
17%
18%
65%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |