Petrelense vs Castalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
21.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
ATL
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 1
PET
27%
21%
51%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ONI
1 - 2
PET
28%
21%
51%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PET
2 - 0
MON
71%
16%
14%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ESI
0 - 2
PET
34%
21%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ONI
1 - 1
CAS
52%
20%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 1
MON
58%
20%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ESI
3 - 3
CAS
51%
20%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
NOV
37%
22%
41%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PEA
2 - 1
CAS
19%
18%
63%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -1 |