Petrelense vs Castalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
48.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 0
PET
50%
22%
28%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PET
1 - 3
NUC
12%
16%
72%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CUI
4 - 2
PET
88%
8%
3%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PET
1 - 2
BIA
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PEA
3 - 4
PET
45%
21%
34%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
RAY
27%
21%
52%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BNY
2 - 4
CAS
33%
21%
46%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
CAS
47%
21%
32%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
NOV
59%
19%
22%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NUC
4 - 1
CAS
51%
20%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |