UD Pavía vs PD Garrucha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
+94%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
PAV
4 - 2
HUE
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
ATF
1 - 2
PAV
33%
23%
44%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
PAV
0 - 0
VIL
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
CDV
1 - 2
PAV
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
PAV
3 - 1
BER
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
PD Garrucha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
PDG
4 - 0
LNO
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
HUE
0 - 0
PDG
37%
23%
41%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
PDG
1 - 0
CAR
79%
14%
8%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
PDG
1 - 2
NIJ
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
PDG
2 - 0
MAA
49%
21%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |