UD Pavía vs Comarca Del Marmol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
37.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+157%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CHU
2 - 1
PAV
32%
25%
44%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PAV
1 - 1
CDM
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ORI
0 - 1
PAV
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
PAV
1 - 2
CDU
66%
17%
16%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAÑ
0 - 1
PAV
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Comarca Del Marmol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
COM
1 - 2
BAZ
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CEL
1 - 3
COM
45%
22%
33%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
CDA
49%
21%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
2 - 1
COM
29%
23%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
COM
2 - 0
CUL
82%
12%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |