UD Pavía vs Cd Oriente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
RON
1 - 0
PAV
25%
23%
52%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PAV
2 - 2
CDT
35%
24%
41%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CDA
2 - 1
PAV
40%
24%
36%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PAV
1 - 3
VIL
45%
24%
30%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
PAV
44%
24%
32%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cd Oriente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ORI
2 - 1
LID
27%
22%
51%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
POL
3 - 1
ORI
49%
23%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ORI
1 - 2
ATL
33%
24%
43%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
COM
3 - 2
ORI
28%
24%
48%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ORI
3 - 2
CDT
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |