UD Pavía vs Estudiantes de Almeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
44.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
PAV
1 - 1
COI
26%
26%
48%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ORI
0 - 3
PAV
50%
24%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
PAV
0 - 1
RON
43%
24%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CDT
1 - 1
PAV
69%
19%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
PAV
0 - 0
CDA
27%
23%
50%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Almeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
EDA
4 - 1
RON
50%
21%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CDT
2 - 3
EDA
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
EDA
0 - 4
CDA
47%
21%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VIL
4 - 3
EDA
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
EDA
1 - 3
MON
58%
20%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |