UD Pavía vs Estudiantes de Almeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
56.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ARE
2 - 0
PAV
58%
23%
19%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PAV
0 - 0
LID
35%
22%
43%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
POL
1 - 1
PAV
77%
14%
8%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PAV
1 - 2
ATL
23%
22%
55%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
COM
2 - 2
PAV
38%
24%
38%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Almeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
EDA
3 - 1
LID
56%
21%
23%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
POL
2 - 2
EDA
48%
21%
31%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
EDA
2 - 0
ATL
34%
22%
44%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
COM
3 - 2
EDA
23%
21%
57%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
EDA
4 - 1
CDT
67%
18%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |