UD Pavía vs Alhaurín de la Torre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
70.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 0
PAV
80%
14%
6%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PAV
0 - 1
ARE
29%
24%
47%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NAV
1 - 0
PAV
70%
17%
13%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PAV
0 - 4
POL
24%
25%
51%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BER
1 - 1
PAV
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alhaurín de la Torre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ALH
2 - 0
CDA
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
COI
2 - 3
ALH
22%
22%
57%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ALH
7 - 1
MON
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ALH
4 - 0
ATL
46%
23%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ARE
1 - 1
ALH
25%
24%
51%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |