UD Pavía vs Alfacar UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+216%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PUR
1 - 2
PAV
59%
21%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PAV
3 - 2
ARE
30%
24%
46%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CDH
4 - 2
PAV
61%
21%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PAV
2 - 0
CHU
72%
17%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BAZ
0 - 1
PAV
25%
25%
50%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alfacar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 1
CDA
27%
23%
50%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MOL
1 - 1
ALF
44%
24%
33%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 1
CUL
27%
25%
48%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 1
PUR
36%
24%
40%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ARE
3 - 0
ALF
67%
20%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |